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特朗普能否降低食品、住房和医疗价格?美国人缺乏信心

美联社
2025-01-21

只有两成美国人“极其”或“非常”相信特朗普今年能够在降低食品、住房或医疗成本方面取得进展,还有两成美国人则表示“比较”有信心。

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2025年1月7日,美国当选总统特朗普在佛罗里达州棕榈滩的海湖庄园举行媒体发布会并发表讲话。图片来源:Scott Olson—Getty Images

(美联社华盛顿报道)特朗普之所以能够二次入主白宫,与很多美国人不满居高不下的生活成本有一定关系。但就在特朗普的第二任期即将开启之际,很多人开始怀疑,特朗普是否有能力真的能让美国人的生活成本降下来。

根据美联社和全美民意研究中心联合开展的一项调查,只有两成美国人“极其”或“非常”相信特朗普今年能够在降低食品、住房或医疗成本方面取得进展,还有两成美国人则表示“比较”有信心。

相比之下,更多人对特朗普创造就业的能力更有信心。大约三成受访者“极其”或“非常”相信特朗普今年会在就业问题上取得进展。不过该项民调也显示,虽然特朗普承诺将努力降低物价,但就连他的不少支持者也并不相信他能在短时间内迅速缓解很多美国家庭的生活成本压力。

即便如此,不少人对特朗普的第二个任期还是充满期待的。与2020年特朗普离开白宫时相比,现在就连不少民主党支持者的悲观情绪也淡了许多。民调显示,有八成共和党支持者表示,二次执掌白宫的特朗普将是一位“伟大”或“优秀”的总统。

当然,民主党人的看法则要负面得多。大约八成民主党人认为,第二任期的特朗普将是一位“糟糕”或“极差”的总统。但相比特朗普第一任期结束时,认给出“极差”评价的人还是少了不少。

只有三成受访者对特朗普处理经济问题的能力充满信心

物价问题已经成了2024年美国总统大选的一个核心问题。双方争论的焦点,一是拜登是否应为美国的恶性通胀负责,二是特朗普是否有能力解决美国的通胀问题。美联社的民调显示,在11月份的大选中,大约有四成选民认为,经济和就业是美国当前面临的最严峻的问题,而这些选民中约有六成将票投给了特朗普。

然而民调还显示,虽然现在特朗普上任在即,但很多美国人并不认为他有能力迅速调控物价,持这种看法的还不乏特朗普的支持者。只有不到半数共和党人起码“非常相信”特朗普能够在降低食品、住房或医疗成本方面取得进展。不过,大约有六成支持者起码“非常相信”他促进就业的能力。

民调还发现,人们对特朗普处理宏观经济问题的能力很没有信心。只有大约三分之一的受访者对他处理经济和就业的能力表示了“极其”或“非常”有信心。近两成受访者表示“比较有信心”,还有近半数表示“稍有信心”或者“完全没有信心”。

在这方面,共和党支持者对特朗普的能力显然是更有信心的。大约七成共和党支持者至少“非常”相信他搞经济的能力。

但在其他政策领域,民众对特朗普的期望普遍不高。比如,只有三分之一的美国人对特朗普处理移民问题和国家安全问题的能力“非常有信心”,还有两成受访者“较有信心”,大约半数受访者则表示“稍有信心”或“完全没有信心”。

医疗问题是特朗普的一大弱点

民调发现,美国人尤其怀疑特朗普是否有能力降低医疗成本。只有两成美国人对他解决医疗领域问题的能力表示“极其”或“非常”有信心,还有16%的受访者有信心他能在降低成本方面取得进展。

在大选期间,特朗普曾表示,他会寻求一个《平价医疗法案》的替代方案。不过对于具体怎样改革,则并没有给出切实的计划。特朗普曾在第一个任期内花大力气试图废除该法案,但最终未能成功。

在共和党支持者中,只有半数对特朗普处理医疗系统问题的能力“极其”或“非常”有信心。不过有三分之一的共和党支持者至少对他降低医疗成本的能力“非常有信心”。

半数共和党支持者认为特朗普第二任期将“继续伟大”

在经历了四次起诉、一次定罪和两次暗杀未遂后,特朗普的支持率依然坚挺。最新民调显示,美国民众对他第二任期的预期与他的第一任期相差无几。不到一半的美国人认为,特朗普在第二任期会是一位“糟糕”或“差劲”的总统,这个比例与他2021年离开白宫时基本没有变化。

不过这一次,共和党支持者对特朗普寄予了更高期望,而民主党支持者的担忧似乎也有所减轻。约半数共和党支持者表示,他们认为特朗普在第二任期会成为一位“伟大”的总统——在特朗普第一任期结束时,只有大约四成共和党支持者认为他是一位“伟大”的总统。民主党支持者仍普遍认为特朗普将是一位“糟糕”的总统,但悲观程度有所减轻。大约六成民主党支持者认为,特朗普在第二任期内将是一位“糟糕”的总统,但是在特朗普的第一任期结束时,持此看法的民主党支持者的比例高达四分之三。(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

(美联社华盛顿报道)特朗普之所以能够二次入主白宫,与很多美国人不满居高不下的生活成本有一定关系。但就在特朗普的第二任期即将开启之际,很多人开始怀疑,特朗普是否有能力真的能让美国人的生活成本降下来。

根据美联社和全美民意研究中心联合开展的一项调查,只有两成美国人“极其”或“非常”相信特朗普今年能够在降低食品、住房或医疗成本方面取得进展,还有两成美国人则表示“比较”有信心。

相比之下,更多人对特朗普创造就业的能力更有信心。大约三成受访者“极其”或“非常”相信特朗普今年会在就业问题上取得进展。不过该项民调也显示,虽然特朗普承诺将努力降低物价,但就连他的不少支持者也并不相信他能在短时间内迅速缓解很多美国家庭的生活成本压力。

即便如此,不少人对特朗普的第二个任期还是充满期待的。与2020年特朗普离开白宫时相比,现在就连不少民主党支持者的悲观情绪也淡了许多。民调显示,有八成共和党支持者表示,二次执掌白宫的特朗普将是一位“伟大”或“优秀”的总统。

当然,民主党人的看法则要负面得多。大约八成民主党人认为,第二任期的特朗普将是一位“糟糕”或“极差”的总统。但相比特朗普第一任期结束时,认给出“极差”评价的人还是少了不少。

只有三成受访者对特朗普处理经济问题的能力充满信心

物价问题已经成了2024年美国总统大选的一个核心问题。双方争论的焦点,一是拜登是否应为美国的恶性通胀负责,二是特朗普是否有能力解决美国的通胀问题。美联社的民调显示,在11月份的大选中,大约有四成选民认为,经济和就业是美国当前面临的最严峻的问题,而这些选民中约有六成将票投给了特朗普。

然而民调还显示,虽然现在特朗普上任在即,但很多美国人并不认为他有能力迅速调控物价,持这种看法的还不乏特朗普的支持者。只有不到半数共和党人起码“非常相信”特朗普能够在降低食品、住房或医疗成本方面取得进展。不过,大约有六成支持者起码“非常相信”他促进就业的能力。

民调还发现,人们对特朗普处理宏观经济问题的能力很没有信心。只有大约三分之一的受访者对他处理经济和就业的能力表示了“极其”或“非常”有信心。近两成受访者表示“比较有信心”,还有近半数表示“稍有信心”或者“完全没有信心”。

在这方面,共和党支持者对特朗普的能力显然是更有信心的。大约七成共和党支持者至少“非常”相信他搞经济的能力。

但在其他政策领域,民众对特朗普的期望普遍不高。比如,只有三分之一的美国人对特朗普处理移民问题和国家安全问题的能力“非常有信心”,还有两成受访者“较有信心”,大约半数受访者则表示“稍有信心”或“完全没有信心”。

医疗问题是特朗普的一大弱点

民调发现,美国人尤其怀疑特朗普是否有能力降低医疗成本。只有两成美国人对他解决医疗领域问题的能力表示“极其”或“非常”有信心,还有16%的受访者有信心他能在降低成本方面取得进展。

在大选期间,特朗普曾表示,他会寻求一个《平价医疗法案》的替代方案。不过对于具体怎样改革,则并没有给出切实的计划。特朗普曾在第一个任期内花大力气试图废除该法案,但最终未能成功。

在共和党支持者中,只有半数对特朗普处理医疗系统问题的能力“极其”或“非常”有信心。不过有三分之一的共和党支持者至少对他降低医疗成本的能力“非常有信心”。

半数共和党支持者认为特朗普第二任期将“继续伟大”

在经历了四次起诉、一次定罪和两次暗杀未遂后,特朗普的支持率依然坚挺。最新民调显示,美国民众对他第二任期的预期与他的第一任期相差无几。不到一半的美国人认为,特朗普在第二任期会是一位“糟糕”或“差劲”的总统,这个比例与他2021年离开白宫时基本没有变化。

不过这一次,共和党支持者对特朗普寄予了更高期望,而民主党支持者的担忧似乎也有所减轻。约半数共和党支持者表示,他们认为特朗普在第二任期会成为一位“伟大”的总统——在特朗普第一任期结束时,只有大约四成共和党支持者认为他是一位“伟大”的总统。民主党支持者仍普遍认为特朗普将是一位“糟糕”的总统,但悲观程度有所减轻。大约六成民主党支持者认为,特朗普在第二任期内将是一位“糟糕”的总统,但是在特朗普的第一任期结束时,持此看法的民主党支持者的比例高达四分之三。(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

U. S. President-elect Donald Trump speaks to members of the media during a press conference at the Mar-a-Lago Club on January 07, 2025 in Palm Beach, Florida.

WASHINGTON (AP) — Worries about everyday expenses helped return President-elect Donald Trump to the White House. But with his second term quickly approaching, many U.S. adults are skeptical about his ability to bring down costs.

Only about 2 in 10 Americans are “extremely” or “very” confident that Trump will be able to make progress on lowering the cost of groceries, housing or health care this year, according to a survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, while about 2 in 10 are “moderately” confident.

Faith in Trump’s ability to create jobs is a little higher — about 3 in 10 are extremely or very confident the Republican will make progress on this in 2025 — but the poll indicates that despite his sweeping promises about lowering prices, a substantial chunk of his own supporters don’t have high confidence in his ability to quickly alleviate the economic pressures that continue to frustrate many households.

Those tempered expectations haven’t dampened Republicans’ hopes for Trump’s second presidential term, though. And Democrats’ pessimism about his return to office is more muted than it was when he exited the White House in 2020. About 8 in 10 Republicans say Trump will be a “great” or “good” president in his second term, according to the poll.

And while Democrats’ assessments are much more negative — about 8 in 10 say he will be a “poor” or “terrible” president — they are less likely to say he’ll be a “terrible” president in his second term than they were at the end of his first.

Only about 3 in 10 are highly confident in Trump’s handling of the economy

Much of the 2024 presidential campaign revolved around prices — whether President Joe Biden, a Democrat, was to blame for inflation and whether Trump could fix it. AP VoteCast, an extensive survey of voters and nonvoters that aims to tell the story behind election results, showed that about 4 in 10 voters in the November election identified the economy and jobs as the most important issue facing the country and that about 6 in 10 of those voters cast their ballot for Trump.

As Trump takes office, though, the poll shows that many Americans don’t anticipate that he will be able to immediately bring costs down. That includes some of his own supporters. Less than half of Republicans are at least “very” confident that Trump will make progress on lowering food costs, housing costs or health care costs, although about 6 in 10 are at least “very” confident in his ability to create jobs.

Confidence in Trump’s ability to handle the broader economic situation is also fairly low. Only about one-third of Americans are “extremely” or “very” confident in his ability to handle the economy and jobs. Nearly 2 in 10 are “moderately” confident, and about half are “slightly confident” or “not at all confident.”

Here, Republicans have more faith in Trump’s abilities — about 7 in 10 are at least “very” confident in his ability to handle the economy in general.

But there are other policy areas where expectations for Trump aren’t high across the board. Similar to the economy and jobs, about one-third of Americans are at least “very” confident in Trump’s ability to handle immigration and national security, while about 2 in 10 are “moderately” confident and about half are “slightly” or “not at all” confident.

Health care is a particularly weak spot for Trump

Americans are especially skeptical of Trump’s ability to bring down health care costs or handle the issue of health care at all, the poll found. Only about 2 in 10 Americans are extremely or very confident in his ability to tackle health care issues, and 16% are confident in his ability to make progress on lowering health care costs.

During the presidential campaign, Trump said he would look at alternatives to the Affordable Care Act. He has not offered a concrete plan of what his changes to the health care law would be, but he spent a lot of energy during his first term on efforts to dismantle it that were ultimately unsuccessful.

Only about half of Republicans are extremely or very confident in Trump’s ability to handle health care, and about one-third are at least very confident he’ll make progress on lowering the cost of heath care.

About half of Republicans expect a ‘great’ second term from Trump

Trump’s favorability rating has remained steady through four indictments, a criminal conviction and two attempted assassinations, and the new survey shows that Americans’ expectations for his second term match their assessment of his first four years in office. Slightly fewer than half of U.S. adults expect Trump will be a “terrible” or “poor” president in his second term, essentially unchanged from when he left the White House in 2021.

But Republicans are expecting even bigger things from Trump this time, while Democrats’ fears appear to be a little more muted. About half of Republicans say they think Trump will be a “great” president in his second term, while about 4 in 10 Republicans described him as a great president at the end of his first term. Democrats still overwhelmingly expect that Trump will be a “terrible” president, but that concern has lessened. About 6 in 10 Democrats think Trump will be a terrible president in his second term, down from three-quarters who said he was a terrible president at the end of his first term.

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